Sunday, 2 May 2010

1% Day

30th April 2010: ES final PoC outside BF range after 6/6 overlap in G = 1% day

Notes:
  • B power buy failed to get HV
  • Wide IB after breakdown in C (HTF balance structure had potential for failure near top of range)
  • 6 overlap in G after recovery from below PDL / wide IB - However, though double distribution odds now very low (~1%) , the tpo count was strong (decent pot size) and the location was good for a short if reasoned HMF


Thursday, 8 April 2010

Changing Game (BGO)


2007- June 2009: Identify the direction of the day and go with. Capitalize on the market's tendency to expand both directionally and in time.

Post June 2009: Overlap dominant theme. Price away from value (ppoc) is opportunity.

n.b. stats: ES day session through 1st April 2010

Friday, 26 March 2010

Reversal day

Midday reversal leads to new down auction with strong momo (no 8 overlap)

Wednesday, 24 March 2010

Friday, 12 March 2010

Thursday, 11 March 2010

HTF Coil in EC

Euro Session in context (HTF structure)

HMF Euro Session within HTF up auction:





Exception to the TPO rule

A strong afternoon breakout after a weak TPO count in the morning is a rare event (but not impossible).

Friday, 5 February 2010

Trend Day

4th Feb 2010:
  • Breakout gap from NR/ID (Balance) - produced wide IB
  • Extreme breadth
  • Very heavy volume
  • Weak bounces - Tick pops only entries